White House braces for weak jobless report

The White House is bracing for a new jobs report Friday that is expected to show paltry hiring by the private sector The report from the Labor Department is expected to show the nation’s unemployment rate rising above 9.5 percent. While weekly claims for unemployment fell on Thursday, a private report earlier this week projected the businesses would lose 10,000 jobs for the month. President Obama, under pressure to bolster the sluggish economy with only two months before the mid-term election, is working on new business tax breaks to provide a jolt to the sluggish economy. In Rose Garden comments...

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No Purchase for Perriello in VA-05, Another Democratic Incumbent Congressman in Trouble

No Purchase for Perriello in VA-05, Another Democratic Incumbent Congressman in Trouble: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional District today, 09/02/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 61% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Hurt is up a nominal 3 points; Perriello is flat. Hurt has increased his lead among men, younger voters, independents, and lower-income voters, and now is at or above 62% among each of those groups. Perriello, who...

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House Dems tout August outreach to their constituents

House Democrats are touting their work during the August recess, claiming their members held 1,800 district events to promote their accomplishments and bash Republicans.The frenzied pace is a response to the growing sentiment among the political class that the Democrats’ majority is in danger this November. The party hopes to argue that the doomsday predictions in Washington do not reflect the reality across the country, where they say their candidates are gaining traction.

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Sixty Days to Go The Crystal Ball's Labor Day Predictions (Sabato raises estimate of Dem losses)

The Democrats’ self-proclaimed “Recovery Summer” has become a term of derision. Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net. If anything, we have been conservative in estimating the probable GOP House gains. In the Senate, we now believe the GOP will do a bit better than our long-time prediction of +7 seats. Republicans have an outside shot at winning full control (+10), but are more likely to end up with +8 (or maybe +9, at which point it will be interesting to see how senators such as Joseph Lieberman of...

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District by District Polls Showing Republicans Will Sweep Congress

Polls have been conducted in a small minority of districts, but there are still plenty to show that Republicans are poised to take control of Congress. (The more competitive districts are most likely to have polls taken in them, of course.) After checking Wikipedia, Real Clear Politics and googling the names of every remaining candidate in Republican-leaning districts with Democratic congressmen, I present the poll data to show Republicans already leading in plenty of districts to overwhelm the Democrats' current 39-seat majority. Based only on this data (excluding hundreds of districts with no polling found), I predict 52-60 seats gained....

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Mark Halperin Says GOP Could Gain as Many as 60 Seats in Midterm “Tidal Wave” – Video

Here is video of Time’s Mark Halperin talking to MSNBC’s Chris Matthews about his prediction that the GOP could pick up as many as “60 seats” in this Fall’s Midterm Elections. Halperin said: “It’s not a foregone conclusion, but the Democrats are running out of time and options to keep, what is a tidal wave right now, from washing over them.”

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